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Scenario analysis is a process of evaluating possible future events through the consideration of alternative plausible, though not equally likely, states (scenarios).
Given the current rarity of past cases and resulting data, we suggest that richer reactive analyses may be achieved by adopting a counterfactual approach in order to construct alternative plausible versions of history including plausible near-misses scenarios.
On the contrary, an inductive generation of alternative plausible and illustrative (not explanatory in a scientific sense) hypotheses is scientifically acceptable, as long as they do not aim to predict.
By looking at a large spectrum of factors that could influence their future and ideally by also learning to understand the cross-impact relations between those factors, participants train their capacity to think in terms of alternative plausible scenarios and understand their individual influence on the emergence of those futures.
However, alternative plausible explanations might be used to interpret the reduction in numbers at the colony.
Many of the respondents had underlying or preexisting conditions offering an alternative plausible explanation for their symptoms.
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An alternative, more plausible explanation could be the occurrence of misparentages.
Step 3. Assess alternative explanations – plausible alternative explanations influencing the chain of results are identified and evidences are seeked to assess the strength of their influence.
An alternative biologically plausible mechanism underpinning the detrimental effects of prolonged sitting on triacylglycerol involves reduced lipoprotein lipase activity as a result of fewer skeletal muscle contractions [ 41].
For the present, for all the bleakness of the view from Abu Ghraib, both alternatives look plausible.
The choice seemed sound: gritty realism would be a plausible alternative to Sellars's impassioned surrealism.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com