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But, according to the same forecasts, a rebound is possible by the second half of 2002.
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In Fig. 6, all forecasts have been designed according to the same methodology, by modeling slower saturation of the peak load growth using chain index.
In the United States, property values most likely dropped 3.2 percent in October compared with the same month in 2010, the smallest year-over-year decrease since January, according to the median forecast of 20 economists before a report on the Standard & Poor 's/Case-Shiller 's/Case-Shiller indexes
By contrast, one popular model implies that Mr. Obama would be a better than 90 percent favorite if economic growth goes according to the forecast — while another would peg him as more than a 90 percent underdog if the same forecasts hold true.
Economists forecast a 3 percent gain, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.
Mr. Romney is projected to win Arizona by 16 percentage points, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast.
Mr. Romney is currently a 79 percent favorite to carry North Carolina, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast.
The odds of an Electoral College tie are still very small, 1.3 percent according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast.
Economists projected a 2.5 percent drop in April, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.
Economists projected a 0.7 percent gain, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.
Economists projected a 0.3 percent rise, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey.
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