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"We are talking here about a probability of 99.9%," he added.
Kevin Mag Fhloinn was there, talking about a probability system he invented, which makes a spin of the roulette wheel so inviting it barely feels like a bet.
In this case, the concept of uncertainty about a probability value is both intuitively appealing and potentially useful.
Add in the threat of boulders, and most mission managers are talking about a probability of success of about 75%.
The uncertainty about a probability distribution is represented by the set of cumulative distribution functions lying entirely within a pair of bounding distribution functions, which is called a P-box.
"We're really talking about a probability increase from 'practically impossible' to 'extremely unlikely,' " said Kelin Wang, a research scientist with the Geological Survey of Canada who has been a noted skeptic of operational earthquake forecasting.
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Considering different scenarios of damage awards to AMD, Wells Fargo said there is about a 75% probability for an award of about $8 per share.
There was about an 87% probability that everolimus eluting stents were the most efficacious compared with all others, though there were limited usable data for the zotarolimus eluting Resolute stent in patients with diabetes.
21 22 Briefly, 85 secondary schools were randomly selected from all secondary schools (about 500) with a probability proportional to the school enrolment size.
The decision is about assigning a probability to the possible outcomes.
Above this threshold, CRT-P is most probably the best alternative with a probability of about 90% at a threshold of about €21 000 per QALY gained.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com