Your English writing platform
Discover LudwigSuggestions(1)
Exact(4)
The primary aim of this paper is to assess the potential for epidemic to take off from a primary outbreak farm via livestock movements prior to disease detection.
With reports that farms can be re-infected after a primary outbreak, disease will continue to be an ongoing problem due to lack of complete immunity after infection.
We introduce a framework to analyze livestock movements to evaluate an upper bound on the probability of spread of infection in a farm population from a primary outbreak farm via movements.
In this paper we introduce a set-up for analysis of movement data that allows for a generalized assessment of the risk associated with infection spreading from a primary outbreak farm via livestock movements, applying this to Scotland, we assess how this risk depends upon the time of the year, species transmitting, location of the farm and other factors.
Similar(56)
However, in that study, the model parsimoniously assumed that all primary outbreak farms would be reported, on average, in four weeks, regardless of the heterogeneity in the farm population size and biosecurity measures occurring on farm.
In the event of an outbreak of an acute contagious livestock disease in Scotland, our results show that there would be no spread via livestock movements from a large proportion of primary outbreak farms.
Epidemics again are seeded every 5 days from 1 January 2003 to 31 July 2007 for a disease where the primary outbreak farm is infectious for 2 weeks, and the market remains infectious for 2 weeks after receiving animals from the primary outbreak.
The mean and maximum Euclidian distances the livestock are moved during the epidemic's first generation are calculated for cattle, sheep and pigs, considering a disease where the primary outbreak farm is infectious for 2 weeks.
We consider the potential for infection to spread in a farm population from the primary outbreak farm via livestock movements prior to disease detection.
Jointly, the results imply that in order to prevent large-scale disease outbreaks occurring in Britain, control emphasis should be placed upon the risk of spread from the primary outbreak to a market via movements of cattle or sheep.
Whilst these maximum distances are significantly lower than in the cattle and sheep networks, there remains the potential for pig infection to be transmitted from the primary outbreak farm to a region several hundred kilometres away.
Write better and faster with AI suggestions while staying true to your unique style.
Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com