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Experience has shown that gradations in levels of perceived probabilities correspond more to a logarithmic than linear scale (24), and in the expert consultation for InterVA-4, we used a perceived probability scale that was subsequently converted to numbers on a logarithmic scale as shown in Table 1.
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These findings also highlight that, in women receiving an UV test result, a higher perceived probability of genetic predisposition to cancer compared with objective estimates predicted lower levels of anxiety, suggesting relief in these women.
In women receiving an UV test result, a higher perceived probability of genetic predisposition to cancer compared with objective estimates predicted lower levels of anxiety after notification of BRCA1/2 test results compared with women receiving a positive BRCA1/2 or NU test result.
In women with a positive BRCA1/2 result compared with those with a NU or UV result, a higher perceived probability of genetic predisposition to cancer compared with objective estimates before testing predicted higher levels of anxiety after notification of a BRCA1/2 test result.
However, in women receiving a UV test result compared with those informed of a positive BRCA1/2 or NU test result, a lower perceived probability of genetic predisposition to cancer compared with objective estimates before test result notification predicted higher levels of anxiety, depression and intrusion.
On the contrary, women who received a positive BRCA1/2 test result but who presented a lower perceived probability of genetic predisposition to cancer compared with objective estimates displayed lower levels of anxiety than those receiving a UV or NU test result, suggesting possible minimisation or denial of thoughts related to cancer genetic risks in these women.
Why? Presumably because there was a significant perceived probability of devaluation.
Just like for the active population as a whole, we find that the overestimation of the unemployment rate is associated with a higher perceived probability of being unemployed in the near future.
The coefficient of the unemployment misperception is significant and positive the overestimation of the unemployment rate is associated with a higher perceived probability of being unemployed in the near future.
Conversely, the underestimation of the country's unemployment rate is associated with a lower perceived probability of being unemployed in the near future (though significant only at the 10%% level).
Conservative turn-out in 2016 will likely be much higher this election cycle than in 2012 as there will be a higher perceived probability of reversing these policies.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com