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The phrase "a more likely" is correct and usable in written English.
It can be used when comparing the probability of two or more outcomes, suggesting that one is more probable than another.
Example: "Given the current evidence, a more likely explanation for the phenomenon is that it was caused by human activity."
Alternatives: "a greater likelihood" or "a higher probability".
Exact(60)
A more likely explanation is variations in patient cohorts.
Water, however, is a more likely reason.
The adz seems a more likely progenitor.
Now it's a more likely possibility.
Venezuela, though, appears a more likely host.
A more likely outcome is overtreatment.
Admixture thus seems a more likely explanation.
A more likely figure, Ms. Tavakoli says, is 10percentt.
Other estimates suggested 600 was a more likely figure.
A more likely figure, the authors said, was 2percentt.
A more likely response will include convulsive nausea and disbelief.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com