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It's built for early September of a midterm year.
Still, she will have to run a pitch-perfect campaign to win in such a conservative state in a midterm year.
These projections fit with the general observation, established by political-science research, that in a midterm year the President's opposition party gains seats.
Because of Georgia's partisan lean, especially in a midterm year, Republicans would be favored in such a lesser-of-evils situation, just as they would be if each party nominated strong candidates.
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As the Times reported last week, the "imperial Presidency" is, for Republicans, a new "rallying cry," a midterm-year mantra that captures their loathing of Obama, of government, and of Obama's government.
If the Tea Partier had managed to unseat Cochran, Childers might have had a shot at winning a very red state for the Democrats in a particularly bad midterm year.
In 2006, Nelson ran in a traditionally Republican-leaning midterm year but which happened to be a Democratic wave election because of anger toward President George W. Bush and the Iraq War.
It appears increasingly unlikely -- or maybe impossible -- that the House will vote on immigration reform legislation by the end of the year, before Congress enters a midterm election year.
Another factoid from the Hirsch crew: The average gain for the Dow from a midterm election year low to the high the following year is 50%.
And the political tension of a midterm election year pervades all their deliberations.
If Republicans object, he said, the vote could be scheduled for Saturday -- a highly unlikely prospect in the summer of a midterm campaign year.
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