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With the exception of a large bounce for Harry Truman, all post-election gains in the month following an election have been between three and 10 points.
Even though Mr. Santorum was not believed to have won the Iowa caucuses at the time New Hampshire voted, he did significantly outperform his polls in Iowa, something typically associated with a large bounce.
One reason that Mr. Romney may have received such a large bounce following the Denver debate, for example, is because it came right on the heels of a strong run of news for Mr. Obama — particularly the Democratic convention, and the release of the "47 percent" tape.
A detailed look at the five pollsters that surveyed Americans before and after debate finds that two of them gave Kerry post debate a large bounce, one of them showed a minor tightening, one showed no change at all, and one actually found Bush gaining a point.
But Sunderland paid for failing to take advantage as Ramirez was given time after rounding John O'Shea to shoot from 30-yards, The Uruguayan's left-footed effort took a large bounce in front of Costel Pantilimon and found the corner of the net.
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His stock has increased in price at Intrade — to 85.5 percent from 81.0 percent — but perhaps Mr. Romney deserves a larger bounce still.
If Mr. Romney gets a larger bounce than that — say, pulling ahead of Mr. Obama by perhaps four to six points in the national polls — that would be a bullish sign for him.
(It once was the case that the challenging party seemed to get a larger bounce than the incumbent party, but that wasn't true in 2000, 2004 or 2008).
Investors had hoped for a larger bounce on the first day of trading for the company, which was rescued last year by a $50 billion government bailout and swift trip through bankruptcy reorganization.
New recruitment is showing a particularly large bounce, with a balance of plus 23 per cent of respondents reporting rising employee numbers, a record level since the survey began a decade ago.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com