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The North Korean threat is not the only factor Mr. Clinton must consider before moving ahead, but the intelligence findings will support arguments made by supporters of a missile defense that the United States needs a defensive shield.
SDI consisted of a number of projects aimed at producing a defensive shield against missile attack.
Mr. Gore left some uncertainty as to whether a Gore administration would start building a defensive shield.
They said the plan is likely to include an offer to buy Russian-made missiles that could be used in a defensive shield over Russia and Europe.
Indeed, it was President Ronald Reagan who trumpeted the idea of slashing offensive nuclear weapons and relying instead on a defensive shield that would render nuclear missiles obsolete.
When his selection was announced on Dec. 16, General Powell made the case forcefully, calling a defensive shield "an essential part" of the nation's security.
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Mr. Clinton agreed that there should be significant new reductions in offensive missiles as part of a deal that would also amend the 1972 Antiballistic Missile Treaty to allow a limited defensive shield.
China's chief arms negotiator, Sha Zukang, said the American proposal to build an antimissile defensive shield posed an unacceptable threat to China's security and could force Beijing to expand its own nuclear forces.
On the campaign trail, he promised to build a national defensive shield against missiles.
The administration is drafting incentives that might include buying Russian surface-to-air missiles for a future defensive shield.
It was clear early on that Mr. Cohen was going to be the administration's most ardent supporter of building a limited defensive shield to counter the emerging threat.
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