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The phrase "a decrease in the chance of" is correct and usable in written English.
It can be used when discussing the reduction of the likelihood of an event or outcome occurring.
Example: "The new safety measures have led to a decrease in the chance of accidents in the workplace."
Alternatives: "a reduction in the likelihood of" or "a decline in the probability of".
Exact(2)
The purpose of the lead in period in the primary analysis is to allow for the possibility that the outcome of interest could lead to a short term change (often a decrease) in the chance of being prescribed the exposure of interest.
From the perspectives of individuals who are candidates for particular prevention activities (Table 5), the benefits range from an absolute reduction of MI by 39% (30-year NNT = 3) by control of LDL cholesterol <100 mg/dl in people with established CAD to a decrease in the chance of an MI by an absolute 5% (30-year NNT = 21) by control of LDL cholesterol in people who are at low risk.
Similar(58)
The decreased pressure in turn decreases the chance of glomerular rupture and hematuria especially when accompanied by underlying thin GBM pathology [ 23].
In the interior region, party membership indeed significantly increased one's chance of becoming an adherent and decreased the chance of becoming an adventurer.
Stress reduction can also decrease the chance of developing depression.
Also, in using a self-controlled design, we decrease the chance of misclassifying controls.
In order to decrease the chance of flooding, the design of the flow field path should fit the streamline pattern.
The aggregating cells were not counted in order to decrease the chance of counting these nontarget cells.
The research shows that smaller raindrops increase evaporation, "which in turn decreases the chance of tornado formation".
There were few observations of "head in pollen cells," decreasing the chance of seeing a significant response.
Taking combination therapy to reduce the amount of virus in the bloodstream to undetectable levels can decrease the chance of mother-to-child transmission to about 1percentt.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com