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The phrase "a certain chance of" is correct and usable in written English.
It can be used when discussing the likelihood or probability of an event occurring.
Example: "There is a certain chance of rain tomorrow, so you might want to bring an umbrella."
Alternatives: "a likelihood of" or "a possibility of".
Exact(5)
They have, hypothetically, $6000 USD, and there's a certain chance of losing some of it due to an insurable risk.
I model an individual who faces a certain chance of dying each year.
Weak acceptors also have a certain chance of attracting the strong donor.
The viruses monitored in our study were selected because they are regularly encountered in bats and thus provide a certain chance of detection.
If we assume that every cell in a multicellular body has a certain chance of becoming malignant every year, then large, long-lived animals like elephants should have vastly higher rates of cancer than mice.
Similar(52)
"We are at a unique point in history, where any two people can create a new startup and have a nearly certain chance of at least modest success," says McClure. "Even if the product fails completely, Google and Facebook will compete to acquire the team and investors will at least get their money back".
Shark diving in Pacific Harbor, a couple of hours' drive from the international airport on Viti Levu, elbowed its way onto my list because it offers a fairly certain chance of seeing what any honest diver will admit to yearn for: lots and lots of big fish.
Because none of the secondary runners will accept a slightly lesser chance of victory, then, they all, collectively, resign themselves to an almost certain chance of defeat.
Readers will note that none of this works in the banks favor except for the benefits of any delay until some face-saving settlement and a less than certain chance of success on the merits.
Risk perception Around 10% of the participants considered themselves (10%, n=31), their family members (10%, n=30), or the general public (12%, n=35) to have a high or very high chance of contracting A/H1N1 in the next year, and 28% perceived a high (high, very high, or certain) chance of having a large scale outbreak of influenza A/H1N1 in the coming year (table 2).
With Mr. Obama's newness comes a certain element of chance, and Mr. McCain, though he leans ever more doctrinaire, is still erratic enough that on the Internet he can be found singing — to a classic Beach Boys tune, mind you — about bombing yet another sovereign nation.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com