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Because the reservoirs are in poor repair and were already so low this year despite a reasonable rainfall, there is still not enough to go around.
The Met Office artificially restricts itself to post-1910 whereas there are reasonable rainfall estimates for England that go back to the 18th Century.
Of the three requisites for a thriving civilization: fertile soil, a dependable water supply and relatively level land with reasonable rainfall which would not cause erosion, it is likely that the third factor was most important, and evidence is mounting that soil degradation has toppled civilizations as surely as military conquest.
When used mainly as a soil and water conservation measure in areas of reasonable rainfall (750 mm - 1250 mm) on medium-deep vertisols, it was found that the disadvantage of waterlogging in the vicinity of the bund both uphill and downhill exceeded the advantage of increased cropping from the stored moisture in a dry season (ICRISAT 1975).
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THE city of Chennai in southern India, the country's fourth largest, gets a reasonable amount of rainfall during the months of the monsoon, sufficient in theory to provide enough water for its growing population.
In its present form calculation of erosivity values by the EI method are likely to be reasonable for most rainfall regimes.
In drier areas, outbreaks of malaria have been predicted with reasonable accuracy by mapping rainfall.
However, the simplified biology behind such models can incorporate the fundamental mechanisms of temperature-dependent mortality of adult mosquitoes and development characteristics of larvae, which could result in a reasonable model for the rainfall-dependent survival of immature vector stages and a means of capturing the effects of extreme rainfall on existing breeding sites.
Farms that had timely rainfalls and reasonable yields this past year can also benefit from knowing how much feed they have on hand.
The model results show reasonable skill in simulating the rainfall over the study region for the current climate.
The alternative method developed by R. H. Kraft (Pfost 2000) is an empirical relationship, 100 divided by the forward speed of the hurricane (knots), which, for modern storms, provides a reasonable estimate of the resulting rainfall amount in inches.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com