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"Clade X" was a daylong pandemic simulation held by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, in May.
That scenario was part of a pandemic simulation held during the World Bank's annual meeting in Washington this month.
The World Bank conducted its first pandemic simulation for finance ministers at its annual meeting last year.
In July, they worked with German Chancellor Angela Merkel to conduct a pandemic simulation for health ministers at the G-20 governments meeting, which traditionally focus on finance and economics.
The need for replicates for accurate assessment of the model output measures and the run time per replicate are major scalability issues for pandemic simulation models.
An Ro of 1.6 with an attack rate of 50% matches recent pandemic simulation results (10, 14 ) and lies within the range (1.5 1.7) for the 1957 58 influenza pandemic (10 ).
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Consider recent pandemic simulations showing that a contagious airborne pathogen (like H5N1) carried into any major airport, on any continent, would be global within three days at most.
Clustering methods applied to a set of pandemic simulations, characterized by seven parameters related to the conditions of emergence that were varied following Latin hypercube sampling, were used to identify six pandemic profiles exhibiting different characteristics notably in terms of global burden (from 415 to >160 million of cases) and duration (from 26 to 360 days).
To mitigate a strain with infectivity similar to that of the 1918 19 Spanish influenza pandemic, simulations suggest that all young and adults must be targeted regardless of the likely enhanced transmission by the young.
In March 2007, Cambodia hosted the first ever regional level pandemic preparedness simulation exercise, attended by 85 participants.
We conducted a literature review including reports from pandemic influenza simulation exercises, national strategic and operational plans[ 8, 9], regional preparedness documents and research publications on public health law in Europe.
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