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That factor, board members have noted, resembles the O-ring failure that destroyed the Challenger in 1986, when NASA knew it had a component prone to problems but did not recognize the potential for catastrophe.
It was the victim of an O-ring failure in its right-side rocket booster, believed to have been caused by Florida's unseasonably cold weather that week.
The agents examine the records, which show that Belt knew about the equipment flaw and possibly the O-ring failure on the Challenger.
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When ambient outside temperatures below 40 degrees Fahrenheit were added to the analysis, previous O-ring failures lined up nearly exactly and it was possible to predict with a high degree of certainty that a rocket failure would occur any time the temperature in Cape Canaveral was less than 40 degrees, as it was on that cold day 24 years ago.
See, for example (Ritcher 2016), for a list of specific O-rings failure traces with the damage-causing mechanisms.
For example, Robert Trivers (2000) suggests that 'organizational self-deception' led to NASA's failure to represent accurately the risks posed by the space shuttle's O-ring design, a failure that eventually led to the Challenger disaster.
Hughes blamed technical difficulties — possibly a bad O-ring — for his steam-powered rocket's failure to ignite this weekend in the Mojave Desert.
Failure of a rubber-like O-ring seal in one of Challenger's booster joints was blamed by a presidential commission for leaking super-hot gases that ignited the explosion that destroyed the spacecraft.
The foam debris hit was not the single cause of the Columbia accident, just as the failure of the joint seal that permitted O-ring erosion was not the single cause of Challenger.
In addition, if the O-ring is held on its inside by a rigid cylinder, extremely localized stresses will arise and could lead to premature failure.
Maybe an O-ring melted.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com