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The ability of foresight depends on the state of civilisation: the class or race with the most foresight will work most for the future, because a powerful feeling for the future is the main incentive to industry and saving.
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The methodology is very close to the Driving Forces Analysis (DFA), one of the most used foresight methods in the field of company/corporate foresight [26, 27, 28, 29].
Probably, the most important Foresight matter would be the switch of political information processing from short-term urgencies to long-term goals (sustainability etc).
In most expert foresights, time and number of experts are urgent factors.
But New York City's voting problems will clearly need the most energy and foresight.
This Paper intends to explore on basis of the findings from the most recent German Foresight Exercise (BMBF Foresight Cycle II), how technological innovations in the field of ICT will dramatically change structures and ways of communication, collaboration and work.
Together with basic trends and key uncertainties, most of the foresight studies analysed include a list of highly improbable and high-impact events, which have also been referred to here (wild cards and black swans).
What's an eager entrepreneur to do? Don't go looking to Neil Hirsch for help; he's keeping most of his current foresight to himself.
We selected nine informative articles that present the most recent research on foresight support systems, which form the basis for ongoing scientific debate in this new research stream.
In this research into corporate foresight, the most frequently mentioned methods were scenario planning, trend analysis, environmental scanning, looking for weak signals, and workshops.
Most of the surveyed Foresight 2.0 applications simply invited anyone interested and did not show signs of reflections on the potential motivations to participate.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com