You're supposed to make clear, cold calculations of risk — of the probabilities of victory and defeat".
The Bayesian approach centers on a formula for updating the probabilities of events based on repeated observations.
They are experimental projections assessing the probabilities of different temperature outcomes averaged out over the whole globe.
"Michael likes calculating the probabilities of the polyhedral dice," it was reported, in a chilling presentiment of his Brexit strategy.
"Approving these measures would increase the probabilities of an Obama victory," he says.
But with genetics in your favour, the probabilities of infection are likely to be lower.
(In essence, the probabilities of events are continually revised in the light of new information).
Rather, it is an algorithm for calculating the probabilities of the results of measurements.
Because sampling is being used, the probabilities of erroneous decisions need to be considered.
Once assigned, the probabilities of all constituencies are added up to generate a forecast of the total number of seats for each party.
"Taking the probabilities of automation, and multiplying them by the numbers employed, gives a broad brush estimate of the number of jobs potentially automatable.
